It would seem that NATO currently is very strong. Russia, for the next 15 years cannot in any way compete with it’s power. Lithuania provides the current attack force. In any kind of engagement within the next two to three years would definitelly result in victory for the alliance. Though it would appear that within 10 years time Russia, China and, which is unlikely, possibly, though, India will grow to such power that this new Axis powers will try to succeed current NATO force. The way to make sure that NATO never gets overpowered is simply by increasing 95% of it’s member’s defence spenditure to 5%. In this scenario NATO never gets overpowered, no matter how much China and India grow in GDP, and Russia tightes it’s grip on it’s own military competence.
Let’s start with Russia. Russia right now is operating only at about 15% of it’s military capacity. In serious wartime, (suggesting that right now it’s not taking the conflict in Ukraine completely seriously) assuming a WW2 level threat it could maintain operations for five years. Right now Russia is hiding both the fact that they have superweapons and the idea that NARVA could quickly help takeover most of the planet within a couple of decades. Now I understand this might seem like a huge overstatement and or fearmongering but concidering that while NARVA was at it’s finest, it was able to produce that “Tsar” tank, which took Ukraine over 80 drones to shut down, I do not believe the estimation to be unnescessarily pessimistic.
Let’s continue onto India. While India currently doesn’t have anywhere nearly enough “ammunition” to help China and Russia sustain a war with NATO, if it’s economic growth within 7 years surpassed 10 trillion GDP in US dollars, it would more than likely be able to stock up on a mixture and fusion of Russian and Chinese weaponry, it would definitelly pose a big threat to both NATO and the world economy. If it enabled protectionism in 5-6 years, it would be able to bankroll both Russian and Chinese military experiments in India, experiments which neither China nor Russia can sustain on their own, nor with each other’s help. It wold effectively create an egg which, roosted could within 20 years time, considering also NARVA, produce most if not all of effective modern-day superweapons.
Onto China. China is slowing down, defninitelly. It would seem that they are trying to hide that fact with effective propoganda-like entertainment. That and the fact that they have since the fourties developed a lot of societal weapons would mean that they could sustain a war until, effectivelly no Chinese are left alive. In a life or death situation, which, losing to NATO with Russia would mean death, Chinese would do exactly that. Without the support of Russia, which it’s relying heavily on it also can’t really take Taiwan. China doesn’t currently have the economic “umpf” to sustain it’s militarization. It cannot enter into an active conflict so it’s betting a lot on it’s economic growth over the next four years. If sustained, they could sponsor a conflict relatively speaking, indefinitelly.

Leave a comment